In one camp, officials in Washington, London and within Ukraine’s national security establishment are convinced that a Russian strike is imminent. But Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, is not persuaded that the intelligence Western nations have shown him backs up their dire assessments. Somewhere in the middle, U.S. allies including France, Germany and Norway think Russia...
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Western Intelligence Services Differ on Whether Putin Will Invade Ukraine
NATO Forces in Europe Are No Match for Revitalized Russian Army
From Scott Ritter, former arms control inspector, writing in RT: Without projecting Russian intent, the reality is that the Russian military buildup in its western and southern military districts, when combined with the deployment of mobile forces in Belarus, represent a military power projection capability that is not only more than capable of defeating Ukraine,...
How U.S. Pentagon Hawks Assess Iran and Its Allies
From the pro-CIA Cipher Brief This network of Iranian proxies in Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Lebanon, Bahrain, and possibly elsewhere is what makes Tehran so deadly in the region. It’s a clever method of power projection, honed over decades, because it allows the Iranians to weaken their adversaries and achieve their strategic aims with the fewest...
6 Startling Revelations From Declassified U.S. Government Documents
From HowStuffWorks “The [public] tolerance for the secrecy of these organizations has become smaller,” Pfeiffer says. “There’s a demand by people to have a greater understanding of what their intelligence agencies actually are up to … And the intelligence agencies are incredibly powerful and outrageously secret. So over time, for the intelligence community to...
How Cognitive Empathy Could Have Prevented the Ukraine Crisis
I’m now going to do an extended thought experiment that involves putting ourselves in the Russian leader’s shoes—so extended that it goes back to 1998, before Putin was Russia’s leader. And I’m going to argue that a series of American presidents—Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama—have led us toward the current crisis by...